Ontario Energy Market Forecast
Forecast Energy Costs
IESO Global Adjustment Forecast Report. Your financial roadmap to win Ontario’s energy transition through 2040.
Three scenarios aligned with IESO planning assumptions.
Illustrative shapes only, not report data.
Global Adjustment
Global Adjustment is No Longer an Unpredictable Line Item
We’re taking Global Adjustment from an unpredictable, static charge into a strategically controllable expense.
Forward Curves
Forward curves on Global Adjustment and market prices
Plan against where prices are heading, not where they were. See forward curves for Global Adjustment and Ontario market prices side by side.
- Forward curves on Global Adjustment and market prices
- Wholesale Price Offset Analysis: see our models on the critical inverse relationship between the Ontario Electricity Market Price (OEMP) and the Global Adjustment.
Illustrative, not report data. Move the slider to see the relationship.
Features
A Master Key to Ontario’s Electricity Cost Structures Through 2040
Multi-Scenario Modeling
Business-as-Usual (BAU), Base Case, and Net Zero forecasts aligned with IESO planning assumptions.
Granular Component Analysis
We deconstruct the Global Adjustment into a transparent, three-pillar cost stack to expose its true drivers, including GA-OPG and GA-OEFC-NUG.
Class A Rate Benchmarking
Our report effectively translates complex system-wide costs into the specific metric that matters most for large industrial consumers such as predictive pricing and timing indicators.
Capacity Auction & DR Insights
Get the analysis of the “non-linear” risks in short-term capacity markets. Learn about the recent surges in the winter capacity auction prices and how they drive the GA-OPA component.
Future Capacity & Program Mapping
Our report forecasts the impact of the IESO’s long-term resource adequacy framework on future rates including GA-OPA and incentive & program costs.
Wholesale Price Offset Analysis
See our models on the critical inverse relationship between the Ontario Electricity Market Price (OEMP) and the Global Adjustment.
Powered by Edi
Act on your forecasts with Edi
A forecast only saves money if someone acts on it. Edi, Edgecom’s agentic AI energy manager, turns cost and peak signals into scheduled reports and alerts your team can act on.
- Schedule triggersRun cost reviews on a precise cadence, so nothing depends on someone remembering.
- Cost engineApplies your rate schedule to consumption data and outputs real cost figures.
- AI-written summariesPlain-English cost reports that compare against the prior period.
No code required. Start from a template, test it with Simulate Before Deploy, and go live in under 30 minutes.
Forecast Report
Why Choose Edgecom’s Forecast?
- Data-backed ROI validation to calculate the maximum potential savings for your storage or demand response assets.
- Get a forensic cost deconstruction and see exactly how much of your bill is driven by market factors.
- Tri-Scenario stress testing: Business-as-Usual, Base Case, and Net Zero so you can align your energy strategy with your company’s decarbonization goals and policy assumptions.
- Institutional grade methodology that integrates over a decade of historical market outcomes with forward-looking projections of demand growth and supply mix evolution.
- Professional visuals suitable for bankability
Better Together
Pair it with pTrack®
The forecast tells you how big the Global Adjustment pot will get. pTrack® decides how much of it you pay. As a Class A customer, your share is set by your demand during Ontario’s five peak hours each year, so catching those peaks shrinks the bill the forecast predicts.
The long view
Global Adjustment Forecast Report
Where Global Adjustment is heading through 2040, so capital decisions land at the right time.
Request a sample report →The short view
pTrack®
Catch Ontario’s top five peaks to lower your share of Global Adjustment, with multi-day forecasts that keep production impact to a minimum.
Explore peak prediction →Try it
Catch the peaks, shrink your share
Move the slider to see how each peak you curtail through lowers the part of the Global Adjustment pot you pay.
No peaks caught: your full load sets your share.
Illustrative, not a savings estimate.
Explore Our Products
Explore the Edgecom Energy Platform
Our suite of energy solutions provide you all the tools you need to reduce energy and save on costs.
pTrack®
AI-Powered peak predictions. The most accurate energy peak forecasts.
Explore peak prediction →dataTrack™
Unify your data with real-time energy monitoring and data aggregation.
Explore real-time energy data →NeuraCharge™
AI-Powered DER and BESS automation and optimization platform.
Explore automated dispatch →Ready to Take Control of Your Energy Costs?
Start managing your energy costs with accurate data, automated insights, and real savings, forecasted to 2040.
Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M2M 4J1
Montreal, Quebec, H3B 4W8, Canada